Balancing Stability and Growth: The Role of Interest Rates and Deposit Insurance in Shaping Inflation and Economic Resilience in ASEAN

Suhardiono Suhardiono, Roy Sembel, Adler Haymans Manurung

Abstract


This study examines the effects of interest rates and deposit insurance agency presence on inflation and GDP growth in ASEAN countries from 2019 to 2023. Using a quantitative approach with linear regression analysis, the findings reveal that higher interest rates are associated with lower inflation, highlighting the effectiveness of monetary policy in managing price stability within the region. Additionally, the existence of deposit insurance agencies positively impacts both inflation and GDP growth. While deposit insurance enhances financial stability and fosters economic growth by boosting public confidence, it may also contribute to inflation through increased consumer and investment activity. These findings suggest that ASEAN policymakers should adopt a balanced approach, combining interest rate adjustments for inflation control with carefully managed financial stability measures to support sustainable growth. This study provides valuable insights into the roles of monetary and financial stability policies, underscoring the importance of an integrated policy framework to achieve economic resilience in emerging markets. Future research could explore the interaction between these policies and other structural factors to develop comprehensive strategies for sustaining growth in the ASEAN region.

Keywords


Interest rates, Inflation, Deposit Insurance, Gross Domestic Product, Monetary Policy.

Full Text:

PDF

References


Agusmianata, N., Militina, T., Lestari, D., 2018. Pengaruh Jumlah Uang Beredar Dan Tingkat Suku Bunga Serta Pengeluaran Pemerintah Terhadap Inflasi Di Indonesia. Forum Ekonomi, 19(2), 188.

Altunöz, U., 2018. Investigating the Presence of Fisher Effect for the China Economy. Sosyoekonomi, 27–40.

Azam, M., Khan, S., 2020. Threshold Effects in the Relationship Between Inflation and Economic Growth: Further Emprical Evidence From the Developed and Developing World. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 27(4), 4224–4243.

Bangura, M., 2024. Inflation-Economic Growth Nexus in Nigeria: New Evidence on Threshold Effects. International Journal of Economic Policy, 4(1), 44–62.

Chowdhury, I., Hoffmann, M., Schabert, A., 2006. Inflation Dynamics and the Cost Channel of Monetary Transmission. European Economic Review, 50(4), 995–1016.

Coibion, O., Gorodnichenko, Y., Weber, M., 2022. Monetary Policy Communications and Their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations. Journal of Political Economy, 130(6), 1537–1584.

Duskobilov, U., 2017. Impact of Economic Regulation Through Monetary Policy: Impact Analysis of Monetary Policy Tools on Economic Stability in Uzbekistan. International Journal of Innovation and Economic Development, 3(1), 65–69.

Fountas, S., 2010. Inflation, Inflation Uncertainty and Growth: Are They Related? Economic Modelling, 27(5), 896–899.

Granville, B., Mallick, S., 2006. Does Inflation or Currency Depreciation Drive Monetary Policy in Russia?, Research in International Business and Finance, 20(2), 163–179.

Halmai, P., 2021. Resilience in Focus: Certain Mechanisms of the Deepening of the Economic and Monetary Union. Pénzügyi Szemle = Public Finance Quarterly, 66(1), 7–31.

Hasan, Md. M., Islam, Md. A., Hasnat, M. A., Wadud, A., 2016. The Relative Effectiveness of Monetary and Fiscal ‬Policies on Economic Growth in Bangladesh‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬. Economics, 5(1), 1.

Islam, T. U., 2023. Inflation Targeting: A Time-Frequency Causal Investigation. Plos One, 18(12), e0295453.

Kankpeyeng, J. G., Maham, I., Abubakar, M., 2021. Impact of Inflation on Gross Domestic Product Growth in Ghana. Ghana Journal of Development Studies, 18(2), 117–137.

Khodabakhshi, A., 2023. Nonlinear Impact of Interest Rates on Price Level (Smooth Transition Autoregressive Approach). Journal of Management and Science, 13(2), 5–15.

Kim, A., 2023. Effects of Interest Rate Policy on Inflation. Journal of Student Research, 12(3).

Kunkuaboor, Y. C., Adamu, M., Sommik-Duut, M., Abdul-Seidu, F., 2021. The Effect of Inflation on Economic Growth in Ghana, 1995-2019: Post Democratic Analysis. World Journal of Advanced Research and Reviews, 12(3), 230–242.

Meyer, D. F., Chipeta, C., Camel, R. T. M., 2018. An Analysis of the Effectiveness of Interest Rates to Facilitate Price Stability and Economic Growth in South Africa. Studia Universitatis Babe-Bolyai Oeconomica, 63(3), 68–90.

Mirza, A., Rashidi, M., 2018. Causal Relationship Between Interest Rate and Inflation Rate: A Study of SAARC Economies. Kardan Journal of Economics and Manangement Sciences.

Nezhad, M. Z., Zarea, R., 2007. Investigating the Causality Granger Relationship Between the Rates of Interest and Inflation in Iran. Journal of Social Sciences, 3(4), 237–244.

Okoye, P. V. C., Molokwu, I. M., Onwuteaka, I. C., 2019. Effect of Monetary Policy on Economic Growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development, 3(3), 590–597.

Omodero, C. O., Okafor, M. C., 2020. Monetary Policy Mechanisms and Economic Growth Stability in Nigeria. Research in World Economy, 11(6), 225.

Opeyemi, A. F., 2020. Impact of Foreign Direct Investment and Inflation on Economic Growth of Five Randomly Selected Countries in Africa. Journal of Economics and International Finance, 12(2), 65–73.

Rising Interest Rates Reduce Inflation: An Empirical Study for the Republic of North Macedonia. 2022. Horizons A, 30.

Samsuddin, M. A., 2021. Monetary vs Fiscal Policy, Which Is More Effective? Case Studies of Asean-5 Countries. Economica, 9(1), 172–181.

Suparti, S., Prahutama, A., Rusgiyono, A., Sudargo, S., 2019. Modeling Central Java Inflation and GRDP Rate Using Spline Truncated Birespon Regression and Birespon Linear Model. Media Statistika, 12(2), 129.

Taguchi, H., 2015. Macroeconomic Risks in the Greater Mekong Sub-Region. International Journal of Asian Business and Information Management, 6(2), 16–32.

Tan, C.-T., Azali, M., Habibullah, M. S., Lee, C., 2020. The Impacts of Monetary and Fiscal Policies on Economic Growth in Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, 9(1), 114–130.

Taylor, J. B., 2019. Inflation Targeting in High Inflation Emerging Economies: Lessons About Rules and Instruments. Journal of Applied Economics, 22(1), 103–116.

Thanh, S. D., 2015. Threshold Effects of Inflation on Growth in the ASEAN-5 Countries: A Panel Smooth Transition Regression Approach. Journal of Economics Finance and Administrative Science, 20(38), 41–48.

Toroitich, C. J., 2017. Effects of Interest Rates Stability on Kenya’s Economic Performance. Strategicjournals.Com, 4(2).

Yeboah, S. A., 2020. Modelling Inflation-Interest Rate Nexus for Ghana. International Journal of Financial Accounting and Management, 2(3), 227–241.




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.33087/ekonomis.v10i1.2301

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business Published by Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat
Adress: LPPM Universitas Batanghari, Jl.Slamet Ryadi, Broni-Jambi, Kec.Telanaipura, Kodepos: 36122, email: ekonomis.unbari@gmail.com, Phone: 0741-670700


Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.